Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:36:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb355…cccd
crypto · 1825 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$15 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$19 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses1592 / 237
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1829 / 1825
History coverage64d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day29.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1829 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$16
7 days−$14
14 days−$21
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? No 91¢ 88¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 09 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 09 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$3
politics 0% $0
other 0% $0
sports 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? BUY No 91¢ $3 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY No 87¢ $2 38h
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Solary 95¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 137 -3.0% -12.3% 87% 45% -15.1%
≤30d 1063 -0.7% -10.1% 87% 56% -10.2%
≤90d 1829 -0.4% -9.9% 87% 55% -10.0%
all 1829 -0.4% -9.9% 87% 55% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 55% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 5% -18.6%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.5%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.43 · official $2.43 (match) · 3500 history records