Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:14:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb356…e54e
other · 3 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day4.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit33%
Chart Positions 1 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 18¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 81% $0
crypto 19% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 48¢ $9 59m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 53¢ $10 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-60.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -56.1% -60.2% 0% 0% -45.5%
≤30d 2 -56.1% -60.2% 0% 0% -45.5%
≤90d 2 -56.1% -60.2% 0% 0% -45.5%
all 2 -56.1% -60.2% 0% 0% -45.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -60.2% 0% -45.5%
10% -64.1% 0% -50.7%
15% -67.5% 0% -55.5%
20% -70.7% 0% -59.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.88 · official $12.06 · 4 history records