Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T08:37:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.0
score
B3 0xb364…3646 crypto 1753 markets active 0h ago coverage 39d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 39d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$494 (+1%) realized +$494 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%1743W / 10L
Drawdown59%max
Avg bet$44per market
Trades / day44.8pace
Kalshi-fit66%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$71
7 days+$31
14 days+$75
30 days+$98
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 67% +$153
other 33% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 568 -0.1% -9.6% 99% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 1170 +0.1% -9.4% 99% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 1753 +0.2% -9.4% 99% 0% -9.4%
all 1753 +0.2% -9.4% 99% 0% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover44.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 0% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.1% 0% -18.0%
15% -26.0% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.2% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +0% → late +0% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$43 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.34 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

39d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$494
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses1743 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1753 / 1753
History coverage39d ⚠
Avg bet$44
Trades / day44.8
Drawdown59%
Kalshi-fit66%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1753 Trades
no open positions (10 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 20 $46 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 20 $60 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 20 $60 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 20 $60 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 20 $60 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 20 $59 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 20 $59 +$1 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 20 $60 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 20 $60 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 20 $60 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 20 $60 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 20 $47 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 20 $59 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 20 $24 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 20 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 20 $59 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 20 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 20 $60 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 20 $60 +$1 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 20 $60 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 20 $59 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 20 $59 +$1 +1%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? Jun 20 $51 +$29 +57%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 20 $60 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 20 $60 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 20 $60 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 20 $60 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 20 $59 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 20 $45 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 20 $60 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 20 $59 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 20 $50 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 20 $50 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 20 $50 +$1 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 20 $4 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 20 $50 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $46 1m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $60 6m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 11m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $60 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $60 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $60 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $59 41m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $60 56m
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $59 56m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $60 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $60 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $60 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $47 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $59 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $24 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $59 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $60 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $60 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $59 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $60 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $59 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $60 3h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 63¢ $51 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $60 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $60 4h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $60 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $59 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records