trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +17.8% | +6.5% | 75% | 50% | -35.0% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -2.9% | -12.1% | 75% | 25% | -36.9% |
| all | 16 | -1.2% | -10.6% | 88% | 12% | -33.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.6% | 12% | -33.5% |
| 10% | -19.2% | 12% | -39.9% |
| 15% | -27.0% | 12% | -45.7% |
| 20% | -34.1% | 12% | -51.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $494 | −$487 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $175 | +$200 | +114% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 27 | $115 | +$65 | +57% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? | May 26 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Penguins vs. Flyers | Apr 22 | $164 | −$162 | -98% |
| Will there be at least 1500 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 202 | Apr 22 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Apr 22 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 10? | Apr 22 | $256 | +$11 | +4% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Mar 14 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k? | Mar 14 | $24 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets in March 2026? | Mar 14 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP reach $4.00 in January? | Feb 02 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at <$45 in January? | Feb 02 | $16 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in January? | Feb 02 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Netflix dip to $0 in January? | Feb 02 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Kraken IPO in 2025? | Jan 06 | $22 | $0 | +0% |