Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:21:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb367…bed0
crypto · 304 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
−$24 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses199 / 105
Open positions0
Markets (closed)304 / 304
History coverage150d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day4.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 304 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - January 24, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -60%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jan 31 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 13m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 28m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 54¢ $1 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 48m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 58m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 +8.8% -1.5% 80% 80% -3.4%
≤30d 49 +8.8% -1.5% 80% 80% -3.4%
≤90d 49 +8.8% -1.5% 80% 80% -3.4%
all 304 +1.3% -8.3% 65% 44% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.3% 44% -11.4%
10% -17.1% 35% -19.8%
15% -25.1% 25% -27.6%
20% -32.5% 9% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 865 history records