Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:59:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb368…d4e7
crypto · 717 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$91 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$89 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$89
Realized−$89
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses326 / 389
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)715 / 717
History coverage114d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day9.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 2 History 715 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$15
14 days+$15
30 days−$83
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $80 $79 −$1 (-2%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +110%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +74%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $2 +$3 +162%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +72%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-01? May 25 $5 +$3 +51%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET May 25 $1 −$1 -100%
Hamburger SV vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 4.5 May 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-01? May 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5) May 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5 May 25 $5 −$1 -15%
Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-03-01? May 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-01? May 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET May 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET May 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET May 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET May 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET May 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs LAG Gaming - Map 2 Winner May 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET May 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET May 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET May 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET May 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET May 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET May 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET May 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET May 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET May 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET May 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET May 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET May 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET May 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET May 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5 May 25 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET May 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET May 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET May 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET May 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET May 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET May 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET May 25 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET May 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 66% −$98
sports 19% +$18
other 15% −$9
weather 0% −$3
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $11 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $3 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 12h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 60¢ $61 14h
Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 67¢ $10 15h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $2 18h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $2 18h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $1 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $1 30h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 31h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $1 35h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 36h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 36h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $1 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 36h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $1 36h
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 18d
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $2 19d
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele SELL Yes 63¢ $1 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 19d
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $2 19d
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $2 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 19d
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $2 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 19d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 19d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-18.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +61.6% +46.2% 86% 86% +55.0%
≤30d 322 -7.7% -16.4% 52% 52% -17.0%
≤90d 322 -7.7% -16.4% 52% 52% -17.0%
all 715 -10.2% -18.8% 46% 42% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.8% 42% -14.1%
10% -26.6% 39% -22.3%
15% -33.7% 35% -29.8%
20% -40.2% 29% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $88.60 · official $88.60 (match) · 1737 history records