Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:32:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb37b…5186
crypto · 103 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$15,939 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$17,783 · open −$1,844
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$64,395
Realized+$17,783
Unrealized−$1,844
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses59 / 13
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Open positions31
Markets (closed)72 / 103
Avg bet$2,623
Trades / day474.2
Drawdown7%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 31 History 72 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,323
7 days+$17,783
14 days+$17,783
30 days+$17,783
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11? Yes 85¢ 100¢ $3,763 $4,408 +$645 (+17%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? Yes 90¢ 99¢ $3,569 $3,909 +$340 (+10%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Yes 85¢ 100¢ $3,275 $3,847 +$572 (+17%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Yes 88¢ 98¢ $3,464 $3,820 +$356 (+10%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? No 83¢ 100¢ $3,113 $3,730 +$617 (+20%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? No 82¢ 84¢ $3,559 $3,651 +$92 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Yes 92¢ 100¢ $2,965 $3,202 +$236 (+8%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? Yes 97¢ 100¢ $2,962 $3,042 +$80 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? No 97¢ 99¢ $2,891 $2,958 +$67 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? No 94¢ 100¢ $2,513 $2,682 +$169 (+7%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 12? No 97¢ 100¢ $2,512 $2,571 +$59 (+2%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? Yes 96¢ 100¢ $2,410 $2,502 +$92 (+4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $2,376 $2,421 +$45 (+2%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? No 75¢ 72¢ $2,456 $2,361 −$95 (-4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? No 94¢ 96¢ $2,027 $2,075 +$47 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Yes 97¢ 100¢ $2,010 $2,072 +$62 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? No 83¢ 64¢ $2,170 $1,663 −$506 (-23%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 13? Yes 97¢ 100¢ $1,479 $1,520 +$42 (+3%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12? Yes 97¢ 100¢ $1,389 $1,431 +$41 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 11? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $1,383 $1,405 +$22 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 13? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $912 $927 +$15 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Yes 93¢ 100¢ $806 $863 +$58 (+7%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 13? No 96¢ 98¢ $624 $636 +$12 (+2%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 11? No 98¢ 100¢ $588 $600 +$12 (+2%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 13? Yes 91¢ 97¢ $557 $591 +$33 (+6%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 9? Jun 11 $198 +$2 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 10? Jun 11 $300 +$5 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 9? Jun 11 $400 +$9 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7? Jun 11 $399 +$21 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $430 +$15 +4%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 10? Jun 11 $503 +$11 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 10? Jun 11 $591 +$9 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 9? Jun 11 $731 +$16 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 8? Jun 11 $886 +$22 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 7? Jun 11 $538 +$610 +114%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? Jun 11 $1,178 +$22 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $1,346 +$64 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $1,175 −$572 -49%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $2,103 +$53 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 10? Jun 11 $2,298 +$163 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $2,560 +$453 +18%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 10? Jun 11 $2,790 +$577 +21%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 10? Jun 11 $3,417 +$46 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $3,012 +$509 +17%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $3,659 +$67 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $5,900 +$234 +4%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? Jun 11 $7,968 +$157 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $2,248 −$237 -11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $3,769 −$493 -13%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11? Jun 11 $4,210 −$447 -11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $2,513 +$169 +7%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 11? Jun 11 $3,380 −$267 -8%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 11? Jun 10 $2,410 +$92 +4%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 11? Jun 10 $505 +$15 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 10 $806 +$58 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $2,374 +$168 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $2,542 +$112 +4%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 9? Jun 09 $2,851 +$195 +7%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 9? Jun 09 $3,042 +$63 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $3,167 −$38 -1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 9? Jun 09 $3,153 +$121 +4%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 9? Jun 09 $3,970 −$9 -0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 9? Jun 09 $3,169 +$951 +30%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $5,416 −$47 -1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $5,281 +$277 +5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $5,867 +$98 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $9,324 −$511 -6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 11? Jun 09 $486 +$8 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 11? Jun 09 $1,383 +$22 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 11? Jun 09 $173 +$4 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 11? Jun 09 $134 +$2 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? Jun 09 $2,962 +$80 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 11? Jun 08 $588 +$12 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $2,464 +$78 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $2,372 +$256 +11%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$15,939
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 97¢ $19 6m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 97¢ $24 6m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 13? BUY Yes 98¢ $64 13m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No 10¢ $2 22m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No 11¢ $3 22m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 97¢ $24 28m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14? BUY No 64¢ $218 46m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $91 51m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $47 58m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 54¢ $2 59m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 55¢ $14 59m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No 10¢ $2 59m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No 11¢ $3 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 97¢ $24 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 97¢ $6 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 97¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $16 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 97¢ $24 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No 13¢ $3 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No 13¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No 15¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 96¢ $24 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 99¢ $25 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No 16¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 14? BUY Yes 99¢ $25 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 95¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 32¢ $8 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 95¢ $4 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 95¢ $19 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 95¢ $24 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)+0.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 72 +11.2% +0.6% 82% 19% -2.2%
≤30d 72 +11.2% +0.6% 82% 19% -2.2%
≤90d 72 +11.2% +0.6% 82% 19% -2.2%
all 72 +11.2% +0.6% 82% 19% -2.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover474.2 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.6% 19% -2.2%
10% -9.0% 11% -11.5%
15% ← realistic here -17.8% 10% -20.1%
20% -25.8% 4% -27.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $64,395.36 · official $64,395.36 (match) · 3500 history records