trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -2.8% | -12.1% | 0% | 0% | -11.2% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 30% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -1.5% | -10.9% | 30% | 0% | -9.9% |
| all | 29 | -0.9% | -10.3% | 38% | 3% | -8.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.3% | 3% | -8.2% |
| 10% | -18.9% | 3% | -17.0% |
| 15% | -26.7% | 3% | -25.0% |
| 20% | -33.9% | 3% | -32.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | No | 82¢ | 82¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $48 | −$2 | -4% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $8 | −$1 | -7% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 18 | $79 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 17 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 08 | $2 | $0 | -8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 07 | $142 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 07 | $93 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 06 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 04 | $47 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 02 | $37 | +$2 | +5% |
| Will George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July? | Dec 14 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 40-45% of the vote in the South Korea election? | Jun 07 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 17 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Jayson Tatum play in Game 5? | May 15 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Nottingham Forest finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season? | May 15 | $2 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Elon tweet 100–124 times April 11–18? | Apr 14 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76000 and $78000 on Apr 18? | Apr 13 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 13 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament? | Apr 09 | $14 | +$13 | +93% |
| Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the Eastern Conference? | Apr 06 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Apr 06 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 03 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will CDU/CSU and AfD form the next German Government? | Apr 02 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Domantas Sabonis lead the NBA in Rebounds? | Apr 01 | $3 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days? | Apr 01 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb | Mar 31 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| March Madness: Will 0 teams seeded #1 make the Final 4? | Mar 31 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Dillon Danis win the match? | Mar 28 | $14 | $0 | -1% |