trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | +83.1% | +65.7% | 75% | 58% | +1.2% |
| ≤30d | 19 | +51.6% | +37.1% | 63% | 47% | -10.7% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +43.0% | +29.4% | 59% | 41% | -11.5% |
| all | 22 | +43.0% | +29.4% | 59% | 41% | -11.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +29.4% | 41% | -11.5% |
| 10% | +17.0% | 36% | -19.9% |
| 15% | +5.7% | 27% | -27.7% |
| 20% | -4.7% | 18% | -34.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 71¢ | 70¢ | $7 | $7 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombi | Jun 21 | $982 | +$239 | +24% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 21 | $1,614 | +$96 | +6% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $20 | +$9 | +46% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $3 | +$22 | +711% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $3 | +$1 | +30% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? AND Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $101 | −$16 | -16% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $601 | +$49 | +8% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$3 | -52% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 19 | $14 | +$5 | +38% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $5 | +$9 | +172% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $157 | −$43 | -27% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $104 | +$59 | +57% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $20 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 11 | $8,711 | −$1,208 | -14% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $20 | +$3 | +16% |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -69% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 09 | $10,273 | +$254 | +2% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian | Jun 01 | $1,212 | +$1,147 | +95% |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presid | May 31 | $2,240 | −$975 | -44% |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 16 | $839 | −$232 | -28% |
| Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 13 | $284 | +$11 | +4% |
| Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Apr 10 | $123 | −$12 | -10% |