trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -5.1% | -14.1% | 25% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 40% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 40% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 26 | -1.0% | -10.4% | 58% | 0% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.4% | 0% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -19.0% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -26.8% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -34.0% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | $47 | $47 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 24 | $5 | −$1 | -24% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 23 | $50 | +$3 | +7% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 23 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $59 | −$2 | -3% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 03 | $44 | −$1 | -2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 03 | $43 | $0 | +1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 03 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $153 | −$1 | -0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 31 | $4 | $0 | -4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 31 | $82 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 30 | $49 | +$2 | +3% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | May 29 | $91 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31? | May 28 | $4 | $0 | +2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 27 | $52 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Juventus win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May? | Jun 01 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference? | May 07 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the LA Clippers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 07 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Ontario resume electricity surcharge to the U.S. by next Friday? | Mar 18 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Mercedes have the highest Constructor score at the Australian GP? | Mar 16 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'Toxic Town: Limited Series' be the top global Netflix show this | Mar 15 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 700 or more times March 14-21? | Mar 15 | $1 | $0 | -27% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2025 meeting? | Mar 15 | $13 | $0 | +0% |