Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:44:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb3cc…472c
crypto · 218 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$22 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$22 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$22
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses113 / 105
Open positions0
Markets (closed)218 / 218
History coverage34d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 218 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$57
14 days+$19
30 days+$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +189%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +128%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +180%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 93¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-0.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 136 +16.5% +5.4% 47% 47% +7.0%
≤30d 208 +12.4% +1.7% 52% 52% -6.4%
≤90d 218 +10.0% -0.5% 52% 51% -7.0%
all 218 +10.0% -0.5% 52% 51% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -0.5% 51% -7.0%
10% -10.0% 51% -15.9%
15% -18.7% 44% -24.0%
20% -26.7% 32% -31.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 389 history records