trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 22% | 22% | -31.2% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 22% | 22% | -31.2% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +1.8% | -7.9% | 22% | 22% | -31.2% |
| all | 12 | -23.7% | -30.9% | 17% | 17% | -33.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.9% | 17% | -33.0% |
| 10% | -37.5% | 17% | -39.5% |
| 15% | -43.6% | 17% | -45.3% |
| 20% | -49.1% | 17% | -50.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | No | 1¢ | 1¢ | $929 | $675 | −$254 (-27%) |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $1 | −$1 (-38%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $193 | −$189 | -98% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $217 | −$211 | -97% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $1,176 | −$172 | -15% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $75 | +$333 | +442% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $48 | −$47 | -98% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | Jun 13 | $96 | −$94 | -97% |
| Toronto Argonauts vs. Montreal Alouettes | Jun 13 | $139 | −$139 | -100% |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles | Jun 11 | $17 | −$16 | -97% |
| New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians | Jun 10 | $32 | +$60 | +188% |
| Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by August 31? | Aug 19 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump disparage Volodymyr Zelenskyy on Monday? | Aug 19 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31? | Aug 19 | $44 | −$44 | -100% |