Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:18:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb3cf…0ebd
sports · 170 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$92,719 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$100,161 · open +$105,102
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 15 History 589 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$303,232
7 days−$278,860
14 days−$128,653
30 days−$100,161
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 51¢ 81¢ $212,755 $341,727 +$128,972 (+61%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 26¢ 19¢ $65,312 $47,693 −$17,619 (-27%)
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? No 48¢ 51¢ $11,211 $11,905 +$694 (+6%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? No 28¢ 20¢ $4,162 $2,947 −$1,215 (-29%)
NBA Finals: Game 1 Winner to be Champion? Yes 78¢ 81¢ $2,600 $2,700 +$99 (+4%)
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 28¢ 31¢ $2,340 $2,540 +$201 (+9%)
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome? No 70¢ 64¢ $2,103 $1,931 −$172 (-8%)
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 51¢ 20¢ $4,529 $1,781 −$2,748 (-61%)
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome? Yes 20¢ 36¢ $933 $1,697 +$764 (+82%)
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? Yes 19¢ 19¢ $726 $708 −$18 (-2%)
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 32¢ $4,422 $520 −$3,902 (-88%)
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? No 79¢ 81¢ $409 $419 +$10 (+3%)
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 16¢ 20¢ $316 $385 +$69 (+22%)
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) Chicago White Sox 59¢ 53¢ $144 $129 −$15 (-10%)
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? Yes 16¢ 11¢ $101 $69 −$31 (-31%)
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 49¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) Trail Blazers 58¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Spurs 88¢ $869 $0 −$869 (-100%)
Credit One Charleston Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Belinda Bencic Dayana Yastremska $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Leolia Jeanjean Leolia Jeanjean 43¢ $431 $0 −$431 (-100%)
Northwestern State Demons vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Northwestern State Demons $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Copa Colsanitas: Marie Bouzkova vs Ana Sofia Sanchez Ana Sofia Sanchez $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Spurs 34¢ $543 $0 −$543 (-100%)
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. VCU Rams George Washington Revolutionaries $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5 Under 45¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Nuggets (-9.5) Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Credit One Charleston Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Belinda Bencic Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Leolia Jeanjean Jun 12 $431 −$431 -100%
Northwestern State Demons vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Copa Colsanitas: Marie Bouzkova vs Ana Sofia Sanchez Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-5.5) Jun 12 $543 −$543 -100%
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. VCU Rams Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Hawks: O/U 234.5 Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Spread: Suns (-17.5) Jun 12 $11,881 −$11,881 -100%
Nuggets vs. Spurs Jun 12 $57 −$851 -1498%
Knicks vs. Hornets Jun 12 $1,149 −$1,149 -100%
76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 Jun 12 $4,284 −$4,378 -102%
Wright State Raiders vs. Cleveland State Vikings: O/U 159.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
76ers vs. Nuggets: O/U 232.5 Jun 12 $255 −$255 -100%
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5) Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Spread: Rockets (-3.5) Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 Jun 12 $207 −$207 -100%
Spread: Rockets (-16.5) Jun 12 $97 −$97 -100%
Bulls vs. Heat: 1H O/U 113.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Celtics (-11.5) Jun 12 $1,859 −$1,859 -100%
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Shelton (+2.5) Jun 12 $520 −$520 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5 Jun 12 $67 −$67 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-5.5) Jun 12 $309 −$309 -100%
Spread: Rockets (-3.5) Jun 12 $188 −$188 -100%
Spread: Timberwolves (-6.5) Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Golden State Valkyries vs. New York Liberty: O/U 166.5 Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-11.5) Jun 12 $190 −$190 -100%
Hornets vs. Celtics Jun 12 $503 −$503 -100%
Spread: Miami (OH) RedHawks (-9.5) Jun 12 $209 −$209 -100%
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5 Jun 12 $270 −$270 -100%
Pacers vs. Clippers: O/U 228.5 Jun 12 $101 −$101 -100%
Wizards vs. Heat: O/U 248.5 Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Spread: Auburn Tigers (-1.5) Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
1H Spread: Knicks (-3.5) Jun 12 $347 −$347 -100%
76ers vs. Wizards Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Spread: Nuggets (-7.5) Jun 12 $844 −$844 -100%
Mavericks vs. Spurs Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 210.5 Jun 12 $3,771 −$3,398 -90%
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 212.5 Jun 12 $210 −$170 -81%
Pelicans vs. Jazz Jun 12 $2,104 −$2,104 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5 Jun 12 $341 −$368 -108%
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5 Jun 12 $86 −$86 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5 Jun 12 $67 −$67 -100%
Knicks vs. Nuggets Jun 12 $475 −$475 -100%
Spread: Celtics (-6.5) Jun 12 $2,345 −$2,347 -100%
Spread: Lakers (-16.5) Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Pistons vs. Hornets Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Raptors vs. Clippers Jun 12 $569 −$569 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$289,816
other 1% +$5,961
weather 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $15 25m
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $2 29m
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $16 31m
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 28¢ $65 38m
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? BUY No 79¢ $365 50m
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $1,008 58m
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $5 1h
Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome? BUY No 79¢ $43 1h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $101 1h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $11 1h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $9 1h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $30 1h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $17 1h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $25 2h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $22 2h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $3 2h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $605 2h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $50 2h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $1 2h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $88 2h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $68 2h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $25 2h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $1 2h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $254 3h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $3 3h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $76 3h
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes 28¢ $3 3h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $78 3h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $53 4h
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 50¢ $101 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-70.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 505 -84.6% -86.1% 7% 3% -61.1%
≤30d 589 -67.5% -70.6% 15% 7% -20.1%
≤90d 589 -67.5% -70.6% 15% 7% -20.1%
all 589 -67.5% -70.6% 15% 7% -20.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover187.3 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -70.6% 7% -20.1%
10% -73.4% 6% -27.7%
15% ← realistic here -76.0% 4% -34.7%
20% -78.3% 4% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $417,151.87 · official $417,151.87 (match) · 3500 history records