Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:19:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

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B3 0xb3d8…c8d5 crypto 1542 markets active 0h ago coverage 24d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 24d only
✗ bot/MM pace (81 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$1,186 (+2%) realized +$1,186 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate87%1337W / 205L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$45per market
Trades / day80.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$195
7 days+$308
14 days−$43
30 days−$329
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$329
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (81 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 593 +0.6% -9.0% 88% 56% -8.6%
≤30d 1542 -0.7% -10.2% 87% 52% -9.9%
≤90d 1542 -0.7% -10.2% 87% 52% -9.9%
all 1542 -0.7% -10.2% 87% 52% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover80.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 52% -9.9%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 11% -18.6%
15% -26.6% 7% -26.4%
20% -33.8% 1% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
37% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$42 · ×0.15 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

24d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,186
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses1337 / 205
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1542 / 1542
History coverage24d ⚠
Avg bet$45
Trades / day80.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1542 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 17 $66 +$9 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $66 −$66 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $70 +$5 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $65 +$10 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 17 $74 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $64 +$11 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $65 +$10 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 17 $64 +$11 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $65 +$10 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $66 +$9 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $67 +$8 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $65 +$10 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $72 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 17 $64 +$11 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 17 $64 +$11 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $65 −$64 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 17 $64 +$11 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 17 $64 +$11 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $71 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $69 +$6 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 17 $65 +$10 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $74 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 17 $69 +$6 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 17 $71 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 17 $71 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $74 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $73 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $66 +$9 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $66 +$8 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $68 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 16 $63 +$12 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 16 $73 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $65 +$10 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 16 $69 +$6 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 16 $64 +$11 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $34 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $66 +$9 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $23 −$23 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 16 $25 +$10 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $28 −$28 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 16 $27 −$27 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 16 $23 −$23 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 16 $23 −$23 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 16 $33 −$33 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 16 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $24 −$24 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $27 −$27 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $23 −$23 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 16 $24 −$24 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $34 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $32 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $66 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $70 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $74 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $65 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $74 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $64 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $65 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $64 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $65 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $66 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $67 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $65 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $72 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $64 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $64 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $65 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $64 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $64 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $71 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $69 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $65 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $74 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $69 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $71 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $71 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $74 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $7 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $53 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records