Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T06:50:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B3
0xb3e7…a021
crypto · 1203 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$5,481 +23%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,481 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$180
Realized+$5,481
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses775 / 237
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1012 / 1203
Avg bet$19
Trades / day101.8
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1012 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$597
7 days+$1,091
14 days+$2,205
30 days+$5,724
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 25¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+300%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 13¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+669%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 27¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+270%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 33¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+199%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 25¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+300%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 25¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+300%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 35¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+186%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Up 35¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+186%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 35¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+186%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 35¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+184%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+178%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 18¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+456%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 28¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+257%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 37¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+170%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 19¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+426%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 38¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+163%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 28¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+252%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 29¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+245%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 39¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+156%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 31¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+219%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+138%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+140%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 41¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+142%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 43¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+134%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$16 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$11 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$18 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$19 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$31 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$35 +167%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$11 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$7 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $36 +$36 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $36 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$11 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$12 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $20 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $41 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$9 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $31 −$12 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$13 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$17 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$11 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $21 +$34 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$24 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$7 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $41 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$8 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$10 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $9 +$7 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$8 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$15 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $6 +$4 +80%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$5,457
other 1% +$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $20 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $20 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $18 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $35 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $37 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $24 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $20 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $39 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $21 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +71%
net ROI/market (all)+716.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 141 +1147.9% +1029.0% 91% 82% +53.1%
≤30d 956 +838.3% +748.9% 79% 73% +16.2%
≤90d 1012 +802.1% +716.2% 77% 71% +11.0%
all 1012 +802.1% +716.2% 77% 71% +11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover101.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +716.2% 71% +11.0%
10% ← realistic here +638.1% 68% +0.4%
15% +566.8% 66% -9.3%
20% +501.4% 63% -18.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $179.97 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records