Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:15:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B4
0xb416…a676
crypto · 1323 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$3,633 +60%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$622 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$60
Realized−$622
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses711 / 536
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1247 / 1323
History coverage3d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day813.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 2 History 1247 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,009
7 days−$622
14 days−$622
30 days−$622
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 59¢ 100¢ $12 $20 +$8 (+69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $6 $10 +$4 (+57%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4PM ET Down 65¢ 52¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-21%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 39¢ 38¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 69¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+45%)
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 24¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+317%)
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 86¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+16%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Down 76¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 67¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+49%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 20¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+400%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+67%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 55¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+82%)
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+56%)
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 73¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+178%)
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 44¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+127%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Down 46¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+117%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 37¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+170%)
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 80¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+25%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 82¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+22%)
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 28¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+257%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Down 44¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+127%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 85¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+18%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $12 +$8 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +45%
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +317%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +49%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 +$1 +400%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +82%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +56%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +37%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 23, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +178%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +127%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +117%
BNB Up or Down - May 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +25%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +22%
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +257%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +127%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +11%
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +150%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +117%
BNB Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +43%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +117%
BNB Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +82%
XRP Up or Down - May 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +28%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +30%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +163%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +49%
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 21, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
HYPE Up or Down - May 13, 8AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 12, 11PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 75% +$1,205
other 25% +$438
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $0 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $2 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $0 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 9m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 13m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 14m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 15m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $0 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $0 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 18m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $0 18m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 18m
BNB Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 18m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $0 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $1 20m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-2.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1247 +7.5% -2.7% 57% 56% -17.9%
≤30d 1247 +7.5% -2.7% 57% 56% -17.9%
≤90d 1247 +7.5% -2.7% 57% 56% -17.9%
all 1247 +7.5% -2.7% 57% 56% -17.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover813.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.7% 56% -17.9%
10% ← realistic here -12.0% 52% -25.7%
15% -20.5% 44% -32.9%
20% -28.3% 35% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $59.99 · official $41.74 · 3500 history records