Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T18:54:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B4
0xb41a…0a9b
sports · 279 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,820 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,381 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized+$2,381
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses240 / 38
Whale WR (big bets)87%
Est. fees paid−$416
Open positions1
Markets (closed)278 / 279
History coverage30d
Avg bet$598
Trades / day59.7
Drawdown50%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 1 History 278 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$282
7 days−$339
14 days−$267
30 days+$2,381
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Over 99¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5 Under 15¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $2,000 +$19 +1%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 Jun 14 $1,000 +$9 +1%
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $900 +$8 +1%
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $90 +$1 +1%
Will EC Juventude win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 $0 -3%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $54 +$1 +2%
Australia vs. Türkiye: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $1,000 +$9 +1%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $2,100 +$109 +5%
Haiti vs. Scotland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $899 +$9 +1%
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $1,000 +$9 +1%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1,413 −$33 -2%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $359 +$48 +13%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $291 −$6 -2%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $883 +$44 +5%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $89 +$75 +84%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $900 +$8 +1%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $892 −$29 -3%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1,069 +$471 +44%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $16 $0 +1%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $900 +$8 +1%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $899 +$28 +3%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $5 $0 +2%
Will SC Recife win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $436 +$85 +19%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $576 $0 -0%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $1,001 −$6 -1%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $785 +$23 +3%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $69 +$1 +1%
Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $800 +$1 +0%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 0.5 Jun 10 $273 +$2 +1%
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $772 +$78 +10%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $198 −$164 -83%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $900 +$8 +1%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $1,800 +$10 +1%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $227 +$2 +1%
Atlético Nacional vs. CDPJuniorFC: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $157 −$58 -37%
Atlético Nacional vs. CDPJuniorFC: O/U 0.5 Jun 08 $892 +$17 +2%
Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $73 −$2 -2%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $1,150 +$229 +20%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $1,260 −$232 -18%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $901 +$45 +5%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $912 −$97 -11%
Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $1,012 −$1 -0%
CR Flamengo vs. Cusco FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 08 $51 −$51 -100%
Cruzeiro EC vs. Barcelona SC: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $217 −$99 -46%
SE Palmeiras vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $624 −$107 -17%
Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $509 −$492 -97%
Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $175 +$5 +3%
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $1,000 +$9 +1%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $2,362 −$332 -14%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $74 +$4 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% +$2,641
other 13% −$489
crypto 1% +$229
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 SELL Over 100¢ $758 13m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 SELL Over 100¢ $30 13m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 SELL Over 100¢ $221 14m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 99¢ $190 21m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 99¢ $810 21m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 SELL Over 99¢ $1,010 22m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 98¢ $728 22m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 98¢ $273 22m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 SELL Over 100¢ $1,009 29m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 99¢ $745 43m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 99¢ $90 43m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 99¢ $50 43m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 99¢ $41 43m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 43m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 99¢ $11 43m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 99¢ $27 44m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 99¢ $31 44m
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $908 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 99¢ $304 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 99¢ $32 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Over 99¢ $564 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $1,002 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 99¢ $807 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 99¢ $7 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 99¢ $14 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 99¢ $1 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 99¢ $50 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 99¢ $22 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Over 99¢ $99 1h
Germany vs. Curaçao: 1st Half O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $91 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-1.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -6.1% -15.1% 65% 10% -10.4%
≤30d 278 +9.2% -1.2% 86% 12% -8.2%
≤90d 278 +9.2% -1.2% 86% 12% -8.2%
all 278 +9.2% -1.2% 86% 12% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.2% 12% -8.2%
10% -10.6% 6% -17.0%
15% ← realistic here -19.3% 3% -25.0%
20% -27.2% 1% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.17 · official $6.17 (match) · 1829 history records