trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 40% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 25% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 25% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 26 | +0.3% | -9.2% | 35% | 4% | -7.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.2% | 4% | -7.6% |
| 10% | -17.9% | 4% | -16.4% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 4% | -24.5% |
| 20% | -33.1% | 4% | -31.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Jun 17 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 14 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $77 | +$1 | +1% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 13 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 11 | $20 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? | Jun 10 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | Jun 09 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 08 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 06 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 06 | $71 | $0 | -0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 04 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025? | Dec 18 | $21 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Wolves win on 2025-12-03? | Dec 12 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will Newcastle win on 2025-12-02? | Dec 12 | $13 | +$17 | +127% |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03? | Nov 26 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30? | Nov 25 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29? | Nov 25 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series? | Sep 25 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix? | Aug 10 | $17 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will the Washington Commanders win Super Bowl 2026? | Jul 04 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island in the New York City Mayoral Democ | Jul 01 | $1 | $0 | -42% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Jul 01 | $8 | +$1 | +10% |
| Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series? | Jul 01 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30? | Jun 26 | $21 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election? | Jun 09 | $21 | $0 | -0% |