Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T13:30:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B4 0xb42a…9bfc crypto 1586 markets active 0h ago coverage 31d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 30d only
✗ bot/MM pace (62 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$378 (-0%) realized −$378 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate98%1560W / 26L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$69per market
Trades / day62.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$53
7 days+$91
14 days+$61
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$41
other 1% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (62 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 381 +0.9% -8.7% 99% 2% -9.1%
≤30d 1563 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 1% -9.6%
≤90d 1586 -0.2% -9.7% 98% 1% -9.6%
all 1586 -0.2% -9.7% 98% 1% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover62.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.7% 1% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
99% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$48 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.96 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

31d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$378
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1560 / 26
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1586 / 1586
History coverage31d ⚠
Avg bet$69
Trades / day62.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1586 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 17 $24 +$6 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 17 $29 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $29 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 17 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $24 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $17 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $29 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $29 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $29 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records