Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:32:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B4
0xb433…70d4
crypto · 350 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$159 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$159 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$159
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses211 / 139
Open positions0
Markets (closed)350 / 350
History coverage42d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day12.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 350 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$58
7 days−$77
14 days−$77
30 days−$154
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$7 -72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$8 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$8 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$8 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$159
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Down 19¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $3 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +59%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 216 -3.7% -12.9% 63% 62% -12.7%
≤30d 346 -4.8% -13.9% 60% 59% -13.6%
≤90d 350 -4.8% -13.9% 60% 59% -13.7%
all 350 -4.8% -13.9% 60% 59% -13.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.9% 59% -13.7%
10% -22.1% 57% -22.0%
15% -29.7% 47% -29.5%
20% -36.6% 20% -36.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 688 history records