Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:14:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B4
0xb462…1cf6
crypto · 1100 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$18 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses684 / 416
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1100 / 1100
History coverage52d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day25.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1100 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$156
7 days+$273
14 days+$271
30 days+$253
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$13 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$10 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $51 +$11 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $50 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $51 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $50 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $51 −$50 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $50 +$6 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 11 $51 +$9 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 11 $51 +$13 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $50 +$6 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $50 +$7 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 11 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $51 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $51 +$12 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 11 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $51 +$16 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $51 +$13 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 11 $51 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $51 +$14 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 11 $51 +$14 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 11 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$9 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$9 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 10 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 10 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$8 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$7 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 10 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$7 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$5 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$8 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$7 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$8 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $25 +$3 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$23
world 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $51 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $51 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $51 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $50 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $51 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $50 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $50 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $51 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $51 37h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $50 38h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $50 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $50 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $51 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $51 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $50 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $51 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $51 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $51 43h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $51 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $51 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $25 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $25 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $25 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $25 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $25 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $25 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $25 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $25 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-14.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 201 +2.6% -7.2% 85% 79% -5.1%
≤30d 805 -1.9% -11.2% 71% 64% -7.1%
≤90d 1100 -5.6% -14.6% 62% 57% -9.4%
all 1100 -5.6% -14.6% 62% 57% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.6% 57% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.8% 44% -18.1%
15% -30.2% 33% -26.0%
20% -37.1% 23% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2035 history records