trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +251.5% | +218.0% | 100% | 100% | +73.3% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +80.0% | +62.9% | 67% | 50% | +37.3% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +32.4% | +19.8% | 75% | 25% | +7.4% |
| all | 14 | +43.2% | +29.6% | 71% | 29% | +8.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +29.6% | 29% | +8.2% |
| 10% | +17.2% | 29% | -2.1% |
| 15% | +5.9% | 21% | -11.6% |
| 20% | -4.5% | 21% | -20.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? | No | 93¢ | 99¢ | $650 | $694 | +$44 (+7%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26? | No | 19¢ | 18¢ | $247 | $227 | −$20 (-8%) |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26? | No | 64¢ | 64¢ | $109 | $108 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $853 | +$247 | +29% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $139 | +$661 | +474% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $110 | +$190 | +172% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 05 | $82 | −$82 | -99% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 02 | $59 | −$59 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? | Jun 01 | $668 | +$31 | +5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | May 17 | $877 | +$23 | +3% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | Apr 25 | $222 | −$222 | -100% |
| Will PLC win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Rep | Apr 25 | $194 | +$5 | +3% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on April 10? | Apr 18 | $98 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 8? | Apr 18 | $796 | +$4 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March? | Apr 02 | $200 | +$1 | +0% |
| Hawks vs. Pistons | Mar 25 | $1,121 | −$1,121 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Bulls | Mar 24 | $466 | +$1,474 | +317% |