Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:41:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B4
0xb46d…78c2
crypto · 90 markets active 1h ago
6.0score
+$337 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$337 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$337
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses62 / 28
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)90 / 90
History coverage5d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day29.6
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 90 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$330
7 days+$337
14 days+$337
30 days+$337
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $81 +$37 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $82 −$80 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $91 +$21 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$8 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$11 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$24 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $112 +$17 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$19 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$20 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$18 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$9 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$12 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $101 +$17 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$23 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$9 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$24 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$12 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$5 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$6 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $41 +$34 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$38 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$20 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$12 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$27 +255%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$9 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$6 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$9 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$8 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$5 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$25 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$53 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$12 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$14 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$333
weather 0% +$2
tech 0% −$4
sports 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $13 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $41 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $42 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $41 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $70 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +69%
net ROI/market (all)+1.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 90 +12.4% +1.7% 69% 69% +3.6%
≤30d 90 +12.4% +1.7% 69% 69% +3.6%
≤90d 90 +12.4% +1.7% 69% 69% +3.6%
all 90 +12.4% +1.7% 69% 69% +3.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.7% 69% +3.6%
10% ← realistic here -8.1% 58% -6.3%
15% -16.9% 40% -15.4%
20% -25.1% 28% -23.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 196 history records