trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +69.9% | +53.8% | 75% | 75% | +29.1% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -24.5% | -31.7% | 33% | 33% | -26.3% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -24.5% | -31.7% | 33% | 33% | -26.3% |
| all | 11 | -38.2% | -44.1% | 27% | 27% | -63.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -44.1% | 27% | -63.3% |
| 10% | -49.4% | 27% | -66.8% |
| 15% | -54.3% | 27% | -70.0% |
| 20% | -58.8% | 27% | -73.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Germany O/U 2.5 | Over | 37¢ | 38¢ | $100 | $101 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 | Over | 38¢ | 38¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5 | Over | 26¢ | 24¢ | $100 | $90 | −$10 (-10%) |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 4¢ | 16¢ | $6 | $25 | +$19 (+316%) |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 21¢ | 2¢ | $100 | $7 | −$93 (-93%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5 | Jun 19 | $203 | −$200 | -99% |
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 3.5 | Jun 18 | $102 | +$255 | +250% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $101 | +$74 | +73% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $303 | +$173 | +57% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 11 | $133 | −$131 | -99% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5 | Jun 11 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 11 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 | Jun 11 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 | Jun 11 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| US government shutdown in 2025? | Sep 25 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? | Jul 25 | $1,050 | −$1,050 | -100% |