Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:45:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B4
0xb498…85b9
crypto · 80 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$13,663 -29%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$13,464 · open −$199
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,277
Realized−$13,464
Unrealized−$199
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses43 / 172
Whale WR (big bets)48%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)215 / 80
History coverage1d
Avg bet$591
Trades / day3421.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 215 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13,464
7 days−$13,464
14 days−$13,464
30 days−$13,464
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 65¢ 96¢ $520 $770 +$250 (+48%)
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? No 69¢ 96¢ $345 $482 +$136 (+40%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 49¢ 4¢ $361 $26 −$335 (-93%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $87 $0 −$87 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $138 $0 −$138 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $78 $0 −$78 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $206 $0 −$206 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $116 $0 −$116 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $77 $0 −$77 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $226 $0 −$226 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $145 $0 −$145 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $83 $0 −$83 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $87 −$87 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $109 −$109 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $138 −$138 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $78 −$78 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $206 −$206 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $116 −$116 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$38 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $77 −$77 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $226 −$226 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $145 −$145 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $149 −$149 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $146 −$146 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $132 −$132 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $131 −$131 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $190 −$190 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $176 −$176 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $164 −$164 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $193 −$193 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $150 −$150 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $127 −$127 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$27
other 1% +$136
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $61 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $83 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $16 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $48 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $17 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $36 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $31 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $18 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $61 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $78 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $52 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $50 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $18 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $25 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $13 0m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)-65.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 215 -62.1% -65.7% 20% 14% -29.8%
≤30d 215 -62.1% -65.7% 20% 14% -29.8%
≤90d 215 -62.1% -65.7% 20% 14% -29.8%
all 215 -62.1% -65.7% 20% 14% -29.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3421.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -65.7% 14% -29.8%
10% ← realistic here -69.0% 5% -36.5%
15% -72.0% 2% -42.6%
20% -74.8% 0% -48.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,276.96 · official $1,251.17 · 3500 history records