Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:46:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B4
0xb4ac…d058
crypto · 117 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$10,239 -64%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10,218 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$91
Realized−$10,218
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)13%
Wins / losses76 / 502
Open positions4
Markets (closed)578 / 117
History coverage1d
Avg bet$136
Trades / day3406.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 578 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10,218
7 days−$10,218
14 days−$10,218
30 days−$10,218
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $42 $41 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 53¢ 52¢ $29 $29 −$0 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 43¢ 42¢ $9 $8 −$0 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 59¢ 57¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 41¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+144%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 69¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+45%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 24¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+318%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 46¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+117%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 57¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+75%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 33¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+205%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 93¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+8%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Up 46¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+116%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -580%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$12 -192%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$3 -197%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$43 -960%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$15 +2261%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $38 −$41 -108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$16 -157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$12 -704%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$48 -191%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$30 -152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$21 -148%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$12 -562%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $29 −$27 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$59 -207%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$16 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$26 -83%
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$34 -473%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$25 -2513%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$36 -3156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$4 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $90 −$56 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$20 -800%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$8 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$27 -32924%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$7 -327%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$27 -372%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$10 -381%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$16 -361%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$39 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$46 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$28 -668%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$34 -411%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$3 -467%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$169
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $20 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $26 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $12 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-74.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 578 -71.3% -74.0% 13% 9% -34.5%
≤30d 578 -71.3% -74.0% 13% 9% -34.5%
≤90d 578 -71.3% -74.0% 13% 9% -34.5%
all 578 -71.3% -74.0% 13% 9% -34.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3406.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -74.0% 9% -34.5%
10% ← realistic here -76.5% 6% -40.8%
15% -78.8% 3% -46.5%
20% -80.9% 2% -51.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $90.59 · official $82.48 · 3500 history records