Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:25:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B4
0xb4ad…92e0
sports · 6 markets active 4h ago
0.0score
−$80 -63%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$80 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$45
Realized−$80
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions3
Markets (closed)3 / 6
History coverage1d
Avg bet$21
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$80
7 days−$80
14 days−$80
30 days−$80
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Tampa Bay Rays 62¢ 62¢ $25 $25 −$0 (-1%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 49¢ 48¢ $14 $14 −$0 (-1%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles San Diego Padres 44¢ 44¢ $6 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$80
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 44¢ $7 3h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Tampa Bay Rays 62¢ $25 4h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 49¢ $15 5h
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 43¢ $12 23h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 52¢ $48 24h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes BUY Golden Knights 42¢ $20 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 3 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $45.35 · official $45.35 (match) · 9 history records