Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:02:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B4
0xb4da…b45e
sports · 6 markets active 4h ago
4.5score
+$315 +122%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$317 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$136
Realized+$317
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses1 / 2
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions2
Markets (closed)3 / 6
History coverage61d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown7%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 2 History 3 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days+$339
30 days+$339
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $80 $78 −$2 (-2%)
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $58 $58 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 31 $90 +$339 +376%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? Apr 15 $12 −$12 -100%
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? Apr 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 45% +$317
other 32% −$2
crypto 23% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 4¢ $5 3h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $82 3h
Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? BUY Yes 12¢ $60 3h
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw? BUY Yes 21¢ $12 61d
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? BUY Yes 23¢ $10 61d
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? BUY Yes 21¢ $90 61d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)+43.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 1 +376.2% +330.8% 100% 100% +330.8%
≤90d 3 +58.7% +43.6% 33% 33% +246.2%
all 3 +58.7% +43.6% 33% 33% +246.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +43.6% 33% +246.2%
10% +29.9% 33% +213.1%
15% +17.3% 33% +182.8%
20% +5.8% 33% +155.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $136.20 · official $141.20 · 9 history records