Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:10:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B4
0xb4e0…ffbe
sports · 291 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$7,808 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,545 · open −$263
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,580
Realized−$7,545
Unrealized−$263
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses209 / 81
Whale WR (big bets)81%
Est. fees paid−$2,618
Open positions1
Markets (closed)290 / 291
History coverage91d
Avg bet$1,652
Trades / day7.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 290 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,135
7 days−$7,344
14 days−$2,482
30 days−$7,617
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner G2 74¢ 100¢ $3,390 $4,579 +$1,189 (+35%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 12¢ 0¢ $264 $1 −$263 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 95¢ 0¢ $3,096 $0 −$3,096 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-5.5) Spurs 34¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 Over 17¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5) Pistons 17¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 13¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner Disguised 12¢ 0¢ $333 $0 −$333 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs JD Gaming 12¢ 0¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 75¢ 0¢ $1,790 $0 −$1,790 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Over 35¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 84¢ 0¢ $1,600 $0 −$1,600 (-100%)
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner Dplus KIA 5¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B FENNEL 1¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-14.5) Thunder 11¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 95¢ 0¢ $2,650 $0 −$2,650 (-100%)
Spread: Pistons (-8.5) Cavaliers 49¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 76¢ 0¢ $3,000 $0 −$3,000 (-100%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season Team Liquid 10¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-17.5) Knicks 5¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs LYON (BO3) - LCS Regular Season LYON 8¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner FlyQuest 87¢ 0¢ $700 $0 −$700 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 12¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 80¢ 0¢ $4,000 $0 −$4,000 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Red Force 63¢ 0¢ $1,231 $0 −$1,231 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $4,208 −$626 -15%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $3,477 +$804 +23%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4,956 −$1,480 -30%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $4,023 −$4,000 -99%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $204 −$200 -98%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $1,685 +$201 +12%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $3,015 +$565 +19%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $554 −$44 -8%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $1,011 −$390 -39%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas Jun 11 $1,022 +$87 +8%
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) Jun 11 $1,001 +$40 +4%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 11 $5,005 +$160 +3%
Spread: Knicks (-4.5) Jun 11 $1,001 +$25 +2%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $2,654 −$2,650 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $101 +$31 +31%
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 10 $7,908 +$143 +2%
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $2,109 +$196 +9%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters G Jun 10 $1,001 +$31 +3%
LoL: Galions vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $3,909 +$187 +5%
Game Handicap: GAL (-1.5) vs WLGaming Esports (+1.5) Jun 10 $604 −$16 -3%
LoL: Solary vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $2,614 +$350 +13%
LoL: Solary vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 10 $3,004 +$137 +5%
LoL: Solary vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $2,635 +$364 +14%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $802 +$59 +7%
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $1,002 +$78 +8%
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 10 $1,603 +$101 +6%
LoL: FENNEL vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 10 $4,436 −$29 -1%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $3,007 +$250 +8%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 09 $2,365 +$171 +7%
Game Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming Junior (+1.5) Jun 09 $1,009 +$418 +41%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Top Esports Challenger - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $348 +$17 +5%
Spread: Knicks (-10.5) Jun 09 $2,103 +$115 +5%
Spread: Knicks (-17.5) Jun 09 $1,002 +$61 +6%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $1,450 +$123 +8%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $1,503 +$110 +7%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $2,803 +$97 +4%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $2,508 +$298 +12%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $2,207 +$270 +12%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $2,154 +$131 +6%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $4,028 −$2,040 -51%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $4,002 +$53 +1%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $3,101 −$3,096 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $3,002 +$77 +3%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $5,311 +$380 +7%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $2,343 +$51 +2%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $701 +$37 +5%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $195 −$190 -97%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $538 +$371 +69%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $2,002 +$60 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$9,226
other 0% +$1,418
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 13¢ $210 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner SELL G2 88¢ $211 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 12¢ $61 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $57 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY G2 74¢ $3,596 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 80¢ $3,525 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 94¢ $4,208 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $4,281 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 81¢ $3,477 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 100¢ $2,906 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 10¢ $570 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 22¢ $645 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $3,526 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $785 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 82¢ $2,011 5h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 79¢ $2,013 5h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 BUY Over 17¢ $51 12h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 35¢ $204 12h
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Karmine Corp Blue 90¢ $1,133 20h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B SELL Team Heretics Academy 68¢ $510 22h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C SELL Galions 41¢ $620 22h
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs PCIFIC (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Karmine Corp Blue 88¢ $552 28h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Team Heretics Academy 73¢ $554 28h
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas SELL KT Rolster Challengers 100¢ $1,109 28h
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Mas BUY KT Rolster Challengers 92¢ $1,022 33h
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY Galions 65¢ $1,011 34h
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Solary 84¢ $3,015 34h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 95¢ $2,654 36h
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) BUY Spurs 96¢ $1,001 36h
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) BUY Spurs 97¢ $1,001 36h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-12.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 56 -7.2% -16.0% 77% 20% -15.0%
≤30d 163 -8.0% -16.8% 75% 28% -11.6%
≤90d 290 -3.7% -12.8% 72% 33% -10.9%
all 290 -3.7% -12.8% 72% 33% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.8% 33% -10.9%
10% -21.2% 18% -19.4%
15% -28.8% 11% -27.2%
20% -35.8% 4% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,579.75 · official $4,579.75 (match) · 811 history records