trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -3.0% | -12.2% | 53% | 47% | +3.8% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -3.7% | -12.9% | 50% | 44% | +3.4% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -3.7% | -12.9% | 50% | 44% | +3.4% |
| all | 18 | -3.7% | -12.9% | 50% | 44% | +3.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.9% | 44% | +3.4% |
| 10% | -21.2% | 39% | -6.5% |
| 15% | -28.8% | 28% | -15.6% |
| 20% | -35.8% | 28% | -23.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 40¢ | 59¢ | $40 | $59 | +$18 (+45%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 83¢ | 84¢ | $50 | $50 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 27¢ | 26¢ | $40 | $39 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 19¢ | $18 | $19 | +$1 (+7%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $17 | $14 | −$3 (-18%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 12¢ | $11 | $12 | +$1 (+9%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | $8 | $10 | +$2 (+29%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 23 | $52 | +$3 | +7% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 23 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $32 | +$38 | +120% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $21 | +$6 | +28% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $21 | +$17 | +80% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $21 | −$10 | -46% |
| Spread: Spain (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $26 | +$4 | +17% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 21 | $21 | +$31 | +148% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $13 | +$4 | +33% |
| Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire? | Jun 20 | $11 | −$5 | -45% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $11 | +$6 | +54% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $8 | +$5 | +64% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jun 20 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the June 2026 meetin | Jun 20 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the | Jun 20 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 20 | $20 | −$2 | -10% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | May 26 | $5 | −$1 | -16% |