Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:29:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb500…af82
crypto · 916 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$404 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$404 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$404
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses397 / 518
Open positions1
Markets (closed)915 / 916
History coverage20d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day133.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 915 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$66
7 days−$121
14 days−$226
30 days−$404
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+127%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 56¢ 58¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 49¢ 42¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$8 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$404
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $0 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-18.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 747 -10.5% -19.0% 43% 19% -12.6%
≤30d 915 -9.6% -18.2% 43% 23% -16.3%
≤90d 915 -9.6% -18.2% 43% 23% -16.3%
all 915 -9.6% -18.2% 43% 23% -16.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover133.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.2% 23% -16.3%
10% ← realistic here -26.0% 13% -24.3%
15% -33.1% 10% -31.6%
20% -39.7% 8% -38.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.00 · official $10.00 (match) · 3500 history records