trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $71 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Jun 13 | $4 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Solana dip to $60 in June? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -12% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $5 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | -9% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 10 | $14 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | May 24 | $15 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? | May 24 | $1 | $0 | -8% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 23 | $37 | −$2 | -5% |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 21 | $5 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 17 | $6 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential ele | May 17 | $4 | $0 | -7% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | May 11 | $1 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | May 10 | $1 | $0 | -0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -4.2% | -13.3% | 0% | 0% | -11.7% |
| ≤30d | 18 | -5.0% | -14.0% | 0% | 0% | -12.8% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -4.6% | -13.7% | 0% | 0% | -12.8% |
| all | 20 | -4.6% | -13.7% | 0% | 0% | -12.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.7% | 0% | -12.8% |
| 10% | -22.0% | 0% | -21.1% |
| 15% | -29.5% | 0% | -28.7% |
| 20% | -36.4% | 0% | -35.7% |