Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:20:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb50a…a608
crypto · 726 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$7,254 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,254 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$7,254
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses335 / 391
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)726 / 726
History coverage52d
Avg bet$87
Trades / day58.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 726 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$328
7 days−$141
14 days−$804
30 days−$3,510
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $165 $0 −$165 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $187 $0 −$187 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $111 $0 −$111 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $147 $0 −$147 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $184 $0 −$184 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $153 $0 −$153 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $153 $0 −$153 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $189 −$184 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $163 +$137 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $159 −$159 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $126 +$74 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $163 +$137 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $168 +$132 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $191 +$109 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $193 −$187 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $248 −$239 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $144 −$144 -100%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $110 +$90 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $152 −$147 -97%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $3 +$7 +216%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $152 +$148 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $85 −$82 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $142 +$158 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $307 −$107 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $158 −$153 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $215 +$185 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $232 +$368 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $315 +$185 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 08 $155 −$152 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 07 $158 −$153 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 07 $158 −$153 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 07 $158 +$142 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 07 $158 −$153 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 05 $244 −$235 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 05 $183 −$176 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 05 $196 +$204 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 05 $142 +$135 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 04 $13 +$7 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 04 $182 −$176 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 04 $182 −$175 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 04 $146 −$139 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 04 $163 +$235 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 04 $207 −$200 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 04 $264 +$182 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 04 $171 −$164 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 04 $211 −$204 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 04 $211 +$189 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 04 $208 +$192 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 02 $220 −$215 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 02 $215 −$208 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 02 $216 −$209 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 02 $161 −$156 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 02 $208 +$192 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 02 $184 +$216 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 02 $217 +$183 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 02 $106 −$101 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 02 $116 +$176 +152%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$7,350
sports 0% +$97
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $189 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $163 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $140 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $11 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $6 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $20 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $10 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $9 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $7 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $72 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $120 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $122 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $191 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $176 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $163 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $7 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-14.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 +1.1% -8.6% 50% 50% -12.5%
≤30d 239 -8.9% -17.6% 45% 45% -19.4%
≤90d 726 -5.3% -14.3% 46% 46% -20.0%
all 726 -5.3% -14.3% 46% 46% -20.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover58.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.3% 46% -20.0%
10% ← realistic here -22.5% 46% -27.6%
15% -30.0% 45% -34.6%
20% -36.8% 45% -41.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records