trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +176.1% | +149.8% | 100% | 100% | +103.9% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +107.7% | +87.9% | 100% | 60% | +66.5% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +67.4% | +51.4% | 88% | 38% | +43.8% |
| all | 25 | +53.9% | +39.2% | 72% | 44% | -8.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +39.2% | 44% | -8.6% |
| 10% | +25.9% | 40% | -17.4% |
| 15% | +13.7% | 36% | -25.4% |
| 20% | +2.6% | 36% | -32.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | No | 53¢ | 52¢ | $371 | $368 | −$4 (-1%) |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,100 in June? | No | 90¢ | 99¢ | $126 | $139 | +$13 (+10%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | Jun 27 | $305 | +$215 | +70% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 26 | $17 | +$3 | +16% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 26 | $59 | +$261 | +442% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May? | Jun 06 | $98 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 20 | Jun 06 | $101 | +$9 | +9% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 27? | May 27 | $99 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | May 27 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 6? | Apr 29 | $50 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 14? | Feb 15 | $110 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 27? | Feb 14 | $98 | +$2 | +2% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025? | Jan 26 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Pistons vs. Clippers | Dec 29 | $546 | +$754 | +138% |
| Warriors vs. Raptors | Dec 29 | $570 | +$930 | +163% |
| Cavaliers vs. Rockets | Dec 28 | $976 | +$624 | +64% |
| Jazz vs. Spurs | Dec 28 | $451 | +$2,581 | +572% |
| Mavericks vs. Kings | Dec 28 | $656 | +$944 | +144% |
| Suns vs. Pelicans | Dec 27 | $922 | +$518 | +56% |
| Celtics vs. Pacers | Dec 26 | $550 | −$550 | -100% |
| Mavericks vs. Warriors | Dec 26 | $1,184 | +$416 | +35% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Dec 25 | $900 | −$900 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Cavaliers | Dec 23 | $90 | +$210 | +233% |
| Suns vs. Lakers | Dec 02 | $4,950 | −$4,950 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Cavaliers | Nov 17 | $98 | −$98 | -100% |
| UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card) | Nov 15 | $484 | −$484 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Thunder | Nov 12 | $351 | −$351 | -100% |