trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? | Jun 12 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | Jun 12 | $17 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30? | Jun 12 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Dum | Jun 12 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | Jun 12 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $429,000 and $431,000 | Jun 12 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the median home value in the US be less than $429,000 on June 30? | Jun 11 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia enter Orikhiv by July 31? | Jun 11 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alien arrests in New York hit 5000+ by June 30? | Jun 11 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | Jun 10 | $10 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? | Jun 10 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Trump meets with Putin by September 30? | Jun 10 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by July 31? | Jun 10 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | Jun 09 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by June 30? | Jun 09 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Set 1 Winner: Humbert vs Bonzi | Jun 09 | $14 | $0 | -2% |
| LA Mayoral Election: Recount of 1st Round? | Jun 09 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 6% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤30d | 17 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 6% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤90d | 17 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 6% | 0% | -9.9% |
| all | 17 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 6% | 0% | -9.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.1% | 0% | -9.9% |
| 10% | -18.7% | 0% | -18.5% |
| 15% | -26.5% | 0% | -26.4% |
| 20% | -33.7% | 0% | -33.6% |