Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:13:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb518…3403
sports · 531 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$880 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$880 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$25
Realized−$880
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses324 / 206
Est. fees paid−$116
Open positions1
Markets (closed)530 / 531
History coverage66d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day15.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 530 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$45
14 days−$78
30 days−$238
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Alexander Bublik 63¢ 63¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+0%)
Madrid Open: Elise Mertens vs Karolina Pliskova Elise Mertens 59¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Mariano Navone Felix Auger-Aliassime 64¢ 0¢ $85 $0 −$85 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5 Over 66¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Kostyuk vs Swiatek Swiatek 69¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 80¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Jack Kennedy Jack Kennedy 61¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Diane Parry Diane Parry 63¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Elena Rybakina vs Mirra Andreeva Mirra Andreeva 45¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs Pittsburgh Pirates 81¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Fight to Go the Distance? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card) Tai Tuivasa 67¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Cirstea (+1.5) Sabalenka 66¢ 0¢ $142 $0 −$142 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina Coco Gauff 64¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ducks vs. Golden Knights Golden Knights 57¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. New York Yankees Texas Rangers 67¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Pegula vs. Swiatek: Match O/U 21.5 Over 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Shuai Zhang vs Emma Navarro Shuai Zhang 26¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Boston Red Sox vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Hamad Medjedovic vs Martin Landaluce Hamad Medjedovic 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Iga Swiatek vs Ann Li Iga Swiatek 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
O/U 2.5 Rounds Under 53¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ruud vs. Darderi: Match O/U 21.5 Over 56¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 84¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $44 +$9 +21%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $25 +$18 +73%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 11 $22 +$3 +13%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $8 +$15 +185%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $16 −$16 -100%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 11 $15 +$1 +7%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $11 +$4 +38%
ITF Wuning: Ya Yi Yang vs Anchisa Chanta Jun 11 $10 +$1 +6%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $20 −$20 -99%
ITF Cuiaba: Sofia Cohen Perovani vs Rebeca Pereira Jun 10 $15 +$5 +31%
ITF Los Angeles: Midori Castillo Meza vs Kenzie Nguyen Jun 10 $14 +$1 +10%
ITF Los Angeles: Alexis Nguyen vs Jo-Yee Chan Jun 10 $9 +$5 +58%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 10 $56 −$23 -40%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $41 −$10 -24%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Martina Trevisan Jun 10 $62 −$21 -34%
ITF Brasilia: Valentino Grippo vs Pedro Andre De Almeida Santos Jun 10 $30 +$19 +62%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $44 −$1 -2%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Sapfo Sakellaridi vs Raluca Georgiana Serban Jun 10 $6 +$4 +73%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Dalila Spiteri vs Laura Svatikova Jun 10 $5 −$5 -99%
Libema Open: Lois Boisson vs Solana Sierra Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $7 +$6 +86%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $7 −$7 -98%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 10 $15 −$9 -58%
Spread: Hurricanes (-2.5) Jun 10 $10 −$4 -39%
Ilkley: Mimi Xu vs Elizabeth Mandlik Jun 09 $5 +$6 +113%
Tucuman: Facundo Mena vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Jun 09 $5 $0 -5%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Jonas Forejtek Jun 09 $5 −$4 -71%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Jun 09 $51 +$11 +23%
ITF Hurghada: Valentina Ryser vs Amra Sadikovic Jun 09 $5 −$5 -98%
ITF Hurghada: Elizaveta Rozhkova vs Summer Yardley Jun 09 $37 +$19 +50%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 210.5 Jun 09 $33 +$4 +11%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 09 $18 +$15 +86%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Linda Fruhvirtova Jun 08 $26 −$8 -32%
Ilkley: Linda Klimovicova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 08 $20 +$6 +29%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $13 +$8 +63%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 08 $7 +$5 +70%
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 08 $5 +$2 +36%
ITF Cuiaba: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Nick Hardt Jun 07 $5 $0 +2%
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 07 $3 +$2 +73%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $2 +$1 +32%
Birmingham: Alexandra Eala vs Nikola Bartunkova Jun 07 $10 −$6 -56%
O/U 2.5 Rounds Jun 07 $2 −$2 -99%
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims) Jun 07 $36 −$19 -53%
UFC Fight Night: Bryce Mitchell vs. Santiago Luna (Bantamweight, Main Jun 07 $15 +$5 +33%
UFC Fight Night: Matt Schnell vs. Alessandro Costa (Catchweight, Preli Jun 07 $13 +$3 +24%
O/U 1.5 Rounds Jun 06 $15 −$15 -99%
UFC Fight Night: Priscila Cachoeira vs. Chelsea Chandler (Women's Bant Jun 06 $23 +$5 +20%
UFC Fight Night: Joanderson Brito vs. Jordan Leavitt (Featherweight, P Jun 06 $15 +$8 +58%
UFC Fight Night: Yuneisy Duben vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Flyweight, P Jun 06 $10 +$4 +41%
Fight to Go the Distance? Jun 06 $6 −$6 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 77% −$639
crypto 22% −$239
world 0% −$5
politics 0% −$1
other 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik BUY Alexander Bublik 63¢ $25 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria SELL Elena Rybakina 100¢ $53 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 82¢ $44 5h
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 57¢ $25 14h
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever SELL Indiana Fever 91¢ $25 14h
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever BUY Indiana Fever 80¢ $22 15h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini SELL Federico Coria 99¢ $22 15h
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini BUY Federico Coria 34¢ $8 18h
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios BUY Nick Kyrgios 83¢ $16 24h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel SELL Barbora Krejcikova 100¢ $16 24h
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel BUY Barbora Krejcikova 93¢ $15 25h
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe SELL Frances Tiafoe 99¢ $15 25h
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 71¢ $11 29h
ITF Wuning: Ya Yi Yang vs Anchisa Chanta SELL Anchisa Chanta 100¢ $11 29h
ITF Wuning: Ya Yi Yang vs Anchisa Chanta BUY Anchisa Chanta 94¢ $10 30h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Los Angeles Dodgers 65¢ $20 40h
ITF Cuiaba: Sofia Cohen Perovani vs Rebeca Pereira SELL Rebeca Pereira 99¢ $20 40h
ITF Cuiaba: Sofia Cohen Perovani vs Rebeca Pereira BUY Rebeca Pereira 75¢ $15 41h
ITF Los Angeles: Midori Castillo Meza vs Kenzie Nguyen SELL Kenzie Nguyen 99¢ $15 41h
ITF Los Angeles: Midori Castillo Meza vs Kenzie Nguyen BUY Kenzie Nguyen 90¢ $14 42h
ITF Los Angeles: Alexis Nguyen vs Jo-Yee Chan SELL Alexis Nguyen 99¢ $14 42h
ITF Los Angeles: Alexis Nguyen vs Jo-Yee Chan BUY Alexis Nguyen 62¢ $9 43h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic SELL Marie Bouzkova 51¢ $9 43h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Marie Bouzkova 55¢ $10 44h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic SELL Donna Vekic 46¢ $10 44h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Donna Vekic 70¢ $15 44h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic SELL Marie Bouzkova 32¢ $15 44h
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Marie Bouzkova 64¢ $31 44h
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians SELL New York Yankees 38¢ $31 44h
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY New York Yankees 48¢ $41 45h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 -1.6% -11.0% 54% 46% -12.9%
≤30d 246 -0.2% -9.7% 56% 47% -13.5%
≤90d 530 -4.6% -13.7% 61% 42% -16.0%
all 530 -4.6% -13.7% 61% 42% -16.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.7% 42% -16.0%
10% -22.0% 32% -24.0%
15% -29.5% 25% -31.4%
20% -36.4% 16% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $25.00 · official $25.00 (match) · 1128 history records