Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:18:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb51b…c2f1
crypto · 177 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$130 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$127 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$37
Realized−$127
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses85 / 91
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)176 / 177
History coverage8d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day192.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 1 History 176 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$241
7 days−$126
14 days−$127
30 days−$127
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 28¢ 26¢ $39 $37 −$3 (-7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$14 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$24 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$26 +236%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $91 −$91 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$11 +182%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$16 +380%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$9 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $65 −$65 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$7 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$10 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$25 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$8 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $53 +$36 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $60 +$69 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$10 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $38 +$19 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $47 +$27 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $33 +$19 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $17 −$16 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $23 +$8 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $66 −$62 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$27 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $33 +$45 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$9 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$15 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$32 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$23 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$11 +208%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 92% −$127
sports 5% +$10
other 3% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)+7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 162 +20.9% +9.3% 45% 40% -16.2%
≤30d 176 +19.2% +7.9% 48% 40% -15.9%
≤90d 176 +19.2% +7.9% 48% 40% -15.9%
all 176 +19.2% +7.9% 48% 40% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover192.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +7.9% 40% -15.9%
10% ← realistic here -2.4% 38% -24.0%
15% -11.9% 34% -31.3%
20% -20.5% 32% -38.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.52 · official $36.52 (match) · 1791 history records