Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:28:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0xb51c…0b6c

crypto · 7 markets active 1h ago

7.0score

+$12 +64%

TOTAL PnL · realized +$12 · open +$0

avoidriskycopy

✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialist⚠ Small sample

Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗

Net worth$0

Realized+$12

Unrealized+$0

Win rate (resolved)86%

Wins / losses6 / 1

Open positions0

Markets (closed)7 / 7

History coverage6d

Avg bet$3

Trades / day2.6

Drawdown1%

Kalshi-fit100%

Chart Positions 0 History 7 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage

1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

2 days+$12

7 days+$12

14 days+$12

30 days+$12

Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

no open positions

Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first

Market	when	invested	PnL	ROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Jun 13	$4	+$4	+107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Jun 13	$2	+$3	+166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Jun 13	$6	+$2	+39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Jun 13	$2	$0	+17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Jun 13	$2	+$1	+57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Jun 11	$1	$0	-9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Jun 07	$1	$0	+35%

Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.

crypto 100% +$12

Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

Latest trades by this wallet

Market	side	price	size	when
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	SELL Down	83¢	$3	58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	BUY Down	47¢	$2	58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	BUY Down	39¢	$2	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	BUY Down	36¢	$2	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	BUY Up	42¢	$2	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	SELL Down	17¢	$1	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	BUY Down	25¢	$2	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	SELL Down	31¢	$3	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	BUY Down	22¢	$2	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	SELL Down	42¢	$2	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	BUY Down	33¢	$2	1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	BUY Down	62¢	$2	2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	SELL Down	49¢	$1	2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	BUY Down	50¢	$1	2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	SELL Down	74¢	$1	6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	BUY Down	52¢	$1	6d

From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.

worth copying (survives realistic slippage)

break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even

chance a trade nets +86%

net ROI/market (all)+43.7%

timeframe	markets	gross ROI	NET ROI	gross WR	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
≤7d	7	+58.8%	+43.7%	86%	86%	+49.0%
≤30d	7	+58.8%	+43.7%	86%	86%	+49.0%
≤90d	7	+58.8%	+43.7%	86%	86%	+49.0%
all	7	+58.8%	+43.7%	86%	86%	+49.0%

gross = as the leader traded. net = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

turnover2.6 tr/day

realistic slip~5%

edge survives to20%

copier slippage	NET ROI	NET WR	net PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here	+43.7%	86%	+49.0%
10%	+29.9%	71%	+34.8%
15%	+17.4%	57%	+21.8%
20%	+5.9%	43%	+9.8%

Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a trap: leader profits, you lose.

✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 21 history records