Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T11:18:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B5 0xb524…9eb7 world 4 markets active 1d ago coverage 1d
RISKYcopy with care world specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ bot/MM pace (134 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$1,316 (-84%) realized −$985 · open −$331
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -88% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -91% what you keep after slip
Net edge-91%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 3L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$392per market
Trades / day134.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
world 100% −$1,316
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-89.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -88.0% -89.2% 0% 0% -85.8%
≤30d 3 -88.0% -89.2% 0% 0% -85.8%
≤90d 3 -88.0% -89.2% 0% 0% -85.8%
all 3 -88.0% -89.2% 0% 0% -85.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover134.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -89.2% 0% -85.8%
10% ← realistic here -90.2% 0% -87.2%
15% -91.2% 0% -88.4%
20% -92.0% 0% -89.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -85% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -88% · $-wt -85% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
17.2 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$328 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$985
Unrealized−$331
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 3
Open positions1
Markets (closed)3 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$392
Trades / day134.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 3 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? No 29¢ 0¢ $331 $1 −$331 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 2 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? Jun 19 $507 −$325 -64%
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? Jun 18 $640 −$640 -100%
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? Jun 18 $90 −$20 -22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? SELL Yes 18¢ $182 33h
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY No 3¢ $21 2d
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY No 3¢ $12 2d
Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? BUY No 3¢ $6 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? BUY No 0¢ $2 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? BUY No 0¢ $0 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? BUY No 0¢ $0 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? BUY No 0¢ $0 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? BUY No 0¢ $0 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? BUY No 0¢ $0 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? BUY No 0¢ $2 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? BUY No 0¢ $2 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? BUY No 0¢ $2 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? BUY No 0¢ $1 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? BUY No 0¢ $2 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? BUY No 0¢ $1 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? BUY No 0¢ $2 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? SELL No 0¢ $1 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? BUY No 0¢ $0 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? SELL No 0¢ $0 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? SELL No 0¢ $0 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? SELL No 0¢ $0 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? SELL No 0¢ $0 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? SELL No 0¢ $0 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? SELL No 0¢ $0 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? SELL No 0¢ $0 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? SELL No 0¢ $0 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? SELL No 0¢ $0 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? SELL No 0¢ $0 2d
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026? SELL No 0¢ $0 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.56 · official $0.56 (match) · 141 history records