trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +19.9% | +8.5% | 100% | 100% | +8.5% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -44.0% | -49.3% | 50% | 25% | -35.1% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -27.6% | -34.5% | 43% | 29% | -49.4% |
| all | 17 | -15.7% | -23.7% | 71% | 12% | -98.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -23.7% | 12% | -98.8% |
| 10% | -31.0% | 6% | -98.9% |
| 15% | -37.7% | 6% | -99.0% |
| 20% | -43.8% | 6% | -99.1% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $12 | +$2 | +20% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 15 | $12 | −$12 | -99% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 19? | Jun 03 | $35 | +$1 | +4% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-2.5) | May 18 | $19 | +$16 | +86% |
| Spread: Knicks (-1.5) | Apr 23 | $20 | −$1 | -3% |
| Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5 | Apr 17 | $80 | −$79 | -98% |
| Spread: Kings (-3.5) | Mar 10 | $9,816 | −$9,816 | -100% |
| US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026? | Mar 10 | $6 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? | Mar 10 | $6 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28? | Mar 10 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 39 | Feb 25 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the US strike Somalia next? | Feb 25 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican preside | Feb 25 | $2 | $0 | +9% |
| Will "Golden - HUNTR/X: EJAE, Audrey Nuna, REI AMI" win Best Song Writ | Feb 25 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? | Feb 25 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will MrBeast hit 465 Million subscribers by January 31? | Feb 25 | $2 | $0 | +3% |