Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:49:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb528…cf4c
crypto · 910 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,166 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,166 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,166
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses446 / 464
Open positions0
Markets (closed)910 / 910
History coverage128d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day22.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 910 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$121
7 days−$337
14 days−$331
30 days−$531
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$38 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$12 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$12 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$10 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$5 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$23 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$18 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$14 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$4 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 10 $18 −$2 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $9 −$5 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4PM ET Jun 10 $53 −$43 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $49 +$16 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$4 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$3 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2PM ET Jun 10 $47 −$46 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $25 +$9 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $21 +$4 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1PM ET Jun 10 $31 −$28 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 10 $28 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10PM ET Jun 10 $26 −$16 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $26 −$16 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 10 $47 +$13 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9PM ET Jun 10 $50 −$35 -69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8PM ET Jun 10 $37 +$6 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7PM ET Jun 09 $65 +$28 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 09 $31 +$17 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6PM ET Jun 09 $35 +$19 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 09 $9 +$4 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5PM ET Jun 09 $122 −$112 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 09 $72 −$11 -16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2,166
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET SELL Down 4¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $41 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $10 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $12 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $9 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $11 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $29 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $24 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $17 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $4 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET SELL Up 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $8 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-18.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 110 -12.9% -21.2% 47% 46% -21.7%
≤30d 279 -11.0% -19.5% 51% 48% -16.8%
≤90d 646 -25.5% -32.6% 42% 38% -30.1%
all 910 -9.9% -18.5% 49% 44% -20.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.5% 44% -20.8%
10% ← realistic here -26.3% 38% -28.4%
15% -33.4% 31% -35.3%
20% -39.9% 23% -41.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3169 history records