Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:14:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb529…3a73
other · 116 markets active 1h ago
4.0score
+$42 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$40 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$40
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)12%
Wins / losses14 / 102
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)116 / 116
History coverage108d
Avg bet$138
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit59%
Chart Positions 0 History 116 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Rockets vs. Bulls Rockets 77¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Nets vs. Lakers Nets 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Grizzlies Grizzlies 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Mavericks vs. Nuggets Mavericks 16¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Nuggets vs. Lakers Nuggets 58¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bulls vs. Suns Suns 82¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 14 $15 $0 -0%
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 14 $20 $0 -0%
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 12 $19 $0 -0%
Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 Jun 08 $19 $0 -0%
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 08 $24 $0 -0%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina May 30 $162 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 30 $260 $0 -0%
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 25 $136 $0 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 25 $234 $0 -0%
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? May 23 $239 $0 -0%
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 22 $134 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me May 21 $132 $0 -0%
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 21 $263 $0 -0%
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 20 $119 $0 -0%
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? May 19 $254 $0 -0%
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 18 $236 $0 -0%
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 16 $131 $0 -0%
Will Roy Barreras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? May 14 $102 $0 -0%
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 13 $129 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 13 $380 $0 -0%
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 12 $244 $0 -0%
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? May 12 $120 $0 -0%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no May 11 $134 $0 -0%
Will Valtteri Bottas be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 11 $395 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026? May 10 $222 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 07 $105 $0 -0%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 07 $102 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 06 $114 $0 -0%
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 06 $103 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 05 $27 $0 +0%
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 04 $124 $0 -0%
Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 03 $146 $0 -0%
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? May 02 $261 $0 -0%
Will Park Hong-keun win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 01 $112 $0 -0%
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 01 $122 $0 -0%
Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 30 $343 $0 -0%
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 27 $140 $0 -0%
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? Apr 27 $273 $0 -0%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 27 $131 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 26 $247 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 26 $117 $0 -0%
Will Cho Kuk win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 24 $134 $0 -0%
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 22 $235 $0 -0%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 21 $245 $0 -0%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin Apr 20 $148 $0 -0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 20 $118 $0 -0%
Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 18 $258 $0 -0%
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 18 $110 $0 -0%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me Apr 18 $142 $0 -0%
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga? Apr 17 $108 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 55% −$9
politics 35% −$7
sports 4% +$57
economics 3% $0
tech 3% $0
world 1% $0
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $15 1h
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $15 4h
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $20 11h
Will Butch Ware win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $20 16h
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $19 2d
Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $19 4d
Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 SELL No 100¢ $19 6d
Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 BUY No 100¢ $19 6d
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $24 6d
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $24 8d
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina SELL No 99¢ $17 14d
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina BUY No 99¢ $17 15d
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $123 15d
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $123 19d
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $136 19d
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $136 20d
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $114 20d
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $114 21d
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $97 21d
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $97 22d
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $134 23d
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $134 23d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me SELL No 100¢ $132 23d
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 me BUY No 100¢ $132 23d
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $136 24d
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $136 24d
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $119 25d
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $119 25d
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $114 25d
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $114 26d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-4.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 17 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 106 +7.1% -3.1% 7% 5% -9.3%
all 116 +6.1% -4.0% 12% 6% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.0% 6% -9.3%
10% -13.2% 6% -18.0%
15% -21.5% 5% -25.9%
20% -29.2% 4% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 342 history records