Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:57:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb52c…77ab
sports · 37 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$518 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$547 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$235
Realized−$547
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses15 / 20
Est. fees paid−$54
Open positions2
Markets (closed)35 / 37
History coverage11d
Avg bet$100
Trades / day3.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 35 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$213
7 days+$38
14 days−$547
30 days−$547
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs LYON 54¢ 54¢ $120 $119 −$1 (-1%)
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier Carolina Royal Ravens 44¢ 42¢ $120 $116 −$4 (-3%)
Map Handicap: NEW VISION (-1.5) vs XI Esport (+1.5) NEW VISION 50¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Cloud9 56¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs BOMBA Team (+1.5) Frites Esports Club 27¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs paiN Gaming 38¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Global Esports 44¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 47¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs LOUD 64¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Karmine Corp 30¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 34¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Frites Esports Club 50¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs Fluxo W7M 47¢ 0¢ $90 $0 −$90 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5) Jun 14 $121 +$48 +40%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5) Jun 13 $121 +$80 +66%
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $122 +$85 +70%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $121 +$72 +60%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $122 −$120 -98%
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Jun 10 $122 +$102 +84%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $121 +$72 +59%
Map Handicap: NEW VISION (-1.5) vs XI Esport (+1.5) Jun 10 $122 −$120 -98%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 10 $91 −$90 -98%
Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs BOMBA Team (+1.5) Jun 09 $41 −$40 -98%
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $122 −$120 -98%
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South A Jun 08 $121 +$61 +50%
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Jun 08 $121 +$79 +65%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $30 −$29 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $122 −$120 -98%
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) Jun 07 $91 +$79 +86%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $41 −$41 -100%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $61 −$61 -100%
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) Jun 07 $91 −$91 -100%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challen Jun 07 $122 −$122 -100%
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) Jun 07 $92 −$92 -100%
Call of Duty: Toronto KOI vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) - Call of Duty Leag Jun 07 $61 −$61 -100%
Map Handicap: FLY (-1.5) vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (+1.5) Jun 07 $122 −$122 -100%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo Jun 07 $51 −$51 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $41 −$40 -98%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 07 $122 −$120 -98%
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 07 $121 −$120 -99%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 06 $122 −$120 -99%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5) Jun 06 $101 +$80 +79%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 06 $122 +$101 +83%
Call of Duty: Miami Heretics vs Vancouver Surge (BO5) - Call of Duty L Jun 06 $36 +$99 +276%
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of Jun 05 $121 +$79 +65%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America Jun 05 $92 −$90 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $121 +$72 +60%
Valorant: So:sweet vs X-CAST (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season Jun 04 $102 +$116 +114%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$552
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY LYON 54¢ $122 1h
Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Carolina Royal Ravens (BO5) - Call of BUY Carolina Royal Ravens 44¢ $122 4h
Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs UCAM Esports Club (+1.5) BUY Solary 71¢ $121 19h
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs Vivo Keyd Stars (+1.5) BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 60¢ $121 2d
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) BUY Anubis Gaming 58¢ $122 2d
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali BUY LOS 62¢ $121 3d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $122 3d
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe BUY OLDBOYS- 54¢ $122 4d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C SELL Saigon Warriors 95¢ $193 4d
Map Handicap: NEW VISION (-1.5) vs XI Esport (+1.5) BUY NEW VISION 50¢ $122 4d
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM BUY Fluxo W7M 47¢ $91 4d
Game Handicap: FEC (-1.5) vs BOMBA Team (+1.5) BUY Frites Esports Club 27¢ $41 5d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C BUY Saigon Warriors 59¢ $121 5d
LoL: Frites Esports Club vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In BUY Frites Esports Club 50¢ $122 5d
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed BUY HEROIC Academy 60¢ $121 6d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 34¢ $30 6d
LoL: Leviatan Esports vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South A BUY paiN Gaming 66¢ $121 6d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Astralis 47¢ $122 6d
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) BUY Karmine Corp 53¢ $91 7d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs BUY Karmine Corp 30¢ $41 7d
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo BUY Global Esports 44¢ $122 7d
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY LOUD 64¢ $121 7d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY Cloud9 56¢ $122 7d
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Astralis 54¢ $122 8d
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5) BUY Team Vitality 55¢ $101 8d
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America BUY paiN Gaming 38¢ $92 9d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY HANJIN BRION 24¢ $41 9d
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 1 Winner BUY Dragon Ranger Gaming 32¢ $61 9d
Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) BUY HANJIN BRION 45¢ $91 9d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 BUY TYLOO 62¢ $121 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-28.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -7.5% -16.4% 56% 56% -7.5%
≤30d 35 -21.3% -28.8% 43% 43% -23.9%
≤90d 35 -21.3% -28.8% 43% 43% -23.9%
all 35 -21.3% -28.8% 43% 43% -23.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.8% 43% -23.9%
10% -35.6% 43% -31.2%
15% -41.8% 43% -37.9%
20% -47.5% 37% -43.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $234.80 · official $234.80 (match) · 60 history records