Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:37:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb53e…a73a
crypto · 148 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,737 -26%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,737 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6,737
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses103 / 88
Whale WR (big bets)20%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)191 / 148
History coverage1d
Avg bet$172
Trades / day2551.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 191 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,737
7 days−$6,737
14 days−$6,737
30 days−$6,737
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $119 $0 −$119 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $144 $0 −$144 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $158 $0 −$158 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $199 $0 −$199 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $178 $0 −$178 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $107 $0 −$107 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $197 $0 −$197 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $119 −$119 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $89 −$89 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $158 −$158 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $199 −$199 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $178 −$178 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $197 −$197 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $96 −$96 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $321 −$321 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $158 −$158 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $391 −$391 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $135 −$135 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $179 −$179 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $174 −$174 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $246 −$246 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $199 −$199 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $121 −$121 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $267 −$267 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $206 −$206 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $82 −$73 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $93 −$91 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$20 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $367 −$201 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $24 +$7 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $133 +$41 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $66 −$33 -50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2,187
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 25m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-27.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 191 -19.8% -27.5% 54% 52% -30.0%
≤30d 191 -19.8% -27.5% 54% 52% -30.0%
≤90d 191 -19.8% -27.5% 54% 52% -30.0%
all 191 -19.8% -27.5% 54% 52% -30.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2551.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -27.5% 52% -30.0%
10% ← realistic here -34.4% 46% -36.7%
15% -40.7% 21% -42.8%
20% -46.6% 5% -48.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records