trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 17 | -30.4% | -37.0% | 35% | 35% | +4.4% |
| ≤30d | 28 | -33.0% | -39.4% | 29% | 29% | -46.4% |
| ≤90d | 28 | -33.0% | -39.4% | 29% | 29% | -46.4% |
| all | 31 | -29.7% | -36.4% | 32% | 29% | -46.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -36.4% | 29% | -46.3% |
| 10% | -42.5% | 29% | -51.4% |
| 15% | -48.0% | 29% | -56.1% |
| 20% | -53.1% | 23% | -60.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 52¢ | 52¢ | $70 | $69 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 26¢ | 26¢ | $35 | $34 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $35 | $34 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? | Yes | 72¢ | 72¢ | $30 | $30 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 65¢ | 66¢ | $20 | $20 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 65¢ | 28¢ | $40 | $18 | −$22 (-56%) |
| Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $227 | +$118 | +52% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 22 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $101 | −$101 | -100% |
| Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 21 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $101 | +$42 | +42% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $101 | +$48 | +48% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $51 | +$157 | +307% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $51 | −$43 | -84% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $101 | +$65 | +64% |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $176 | +$96 | +55% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -90% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $15 | +$31 | +203% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect | Jun 14 | $1,147 | −$1,116 | -97% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$28 | +276% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on December 9? | Dec 08 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on December 8? | Dec 08 | $5 | +$5 | +100% |
| Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on December 7? | Dec 07 | $5 | $0 | +5% |