trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -30.2% | -36.9% | 33% | 33% | -0.6% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -30.2% | -36.9% | 33% | 33% | -0.6% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -44.4% | -49.7% | 26% | 26% | -14.0% |
| all | 21 | -49.7% | -54.5% | 24% | 24% | -19.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -54.5% | 24% | -19.2% |
| 10% | -58.8% | 24% | -27.0% |
| 15% | -62.8% | 19% | -34.0% |
| 20% | -66.5% | 10% | -40.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 17¢ | 15¢ | $214 | $190 | −$24 (-11%) |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $30 | $37 | +$7 (+22%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 50¢ | 48¢ | $25 | $24 | −$1 (-4%) |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix? | Yes | 21¢ | 21¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $56 | +$22 | +40% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 25 | $10 | +$3 | +27% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $7 | −$7 | -98% |
| Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw? | Jun 24 | $6 | −$5 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | Jun 24 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $20 | +$27 | +134% |
| Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 3.5 | Jun 24 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | Jun 24 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | Jun 24 | $6 | −$1 | -15% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | Jun 24 | $3 | +$2 | +54% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | Jun 23 | $9 | $0 | -2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | Jun 23 | $11 | −$10 | -94% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - April 7, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET | Apr 07 | $2 | −$1 | -93% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | Apr 07 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | Apr 07 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | Apr 07 | $20 | −$1 | -4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | Apr 07 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | Apr 07 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | Apr 07 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | Feb 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23? | Feb 23 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |