Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:13:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb547…828b
crypto · 52 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$12 -29%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$18
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)2%
Wins / losses1 / 47
Open positions0
Markets (closed)48 / 52
History coverage9d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day15.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 48 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$15
14 days−$18
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +416%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 04 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$16
other 4% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Up 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-83.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -65.9% -69.1% 4% 4% -45.6%
≤30d 48 -82.2% -83.9% 2% 2% -49.6%
≤90d 48 -82.2% -83.9% 2% 2% -49.6%
all 48 -82.2% -83.9% 2% 2% -49.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -83.9% 2% -49.6%
10% -85.5% 2% -54.4%
15% -86.9% 2% -58.8%
20% -88.1% 2% -62.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 166 history records