trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Alex Pereira | 51¢ | 50¢ | $106 | $105 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-02-25? | Yes | 22¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Lakers vs. Suns | Lakers | 65¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | Up | 20¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Trail Blazers vs. Bulls | Bulls | 38¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Kings vs. Mavericks | Mavericks | 72¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Heat vs. 76ers | Heat | 44¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Warriors | 42¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Thunder vs. Pistons | Thunder | 23¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | Up | 58¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Celtics vs. Nuggets | Celtics | 43¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $76 | −$75 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Feb 27 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Nets | Feb 27 | $1 | $0 | +16% |
| Hornets vs. Pacers | Feb 27 | $2 | $0 | +16% |
| Timberwolves vs. Clippers | Feb 27 | $2 | +$1 | +52% |
| Rockets vs. Magic | Feb 27 | $2 | +$1 | +72% |
| Heat vs. 76ers | Feb 26 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Suns | Feb 26 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Mavericks | Feb 26 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Bulls | Feb 26 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Sabres vs. Devils | Feb 26 | $1 | +$1 | +100% |
| Spurs vs. Raptors | Feb 26 | $2 | +$1 | +41% |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25? | Feb 26 | $2 | +$1 | +52% |
| Warriors vs. Grizzlies | Feb 26 | $2 | +$1 | +59% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? | Feb 26 | $2 | +$2 | +82% |
| Celtics vs. Nuggets | Feb 25 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Pistons | Feb 25 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET | Feb 25 | $2 | $0 | +13% |
| Thunder vs. Raptors | Feb 25 | $2 | +$3 | +104% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | Feb 24 | $5 | +$1 | +11% |
| Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-02-25? | Feb 24 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | Feb 24 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | Feb 24 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | Feb 24 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 2 | Feb 24 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET | Feb 24 | $2 | −$1 | -39% |
| Will Meteora be accused of insider trading? | Feb 24 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | Feb 24 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will George Santos attend the 2026 State of the Union address? | Feb 24 | $2 | +$1 | +73% |
| Will Erika Kirk attend the 2026 State of the Union address? | Feb 24 | $2 | −$1 | -36% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | Feb 24 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET | Feb 24 | $5 | +$3 | +58% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | Feb 24 | $5 | $0 | +10% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | Feb 24 | $5 | +$1 | +29% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -97.9% | -98.1% | 0% | 0% | -98.1% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -97.9% | -98.1% | 0% | 0% | -98.1% |
| ≤90d | 1 | -97.9% | -98.1% | 0% | 0% | -98.1% |
| all | 34 | -17.0% | -24.9% | 53% | 44% | -60.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -24.9% | 44% | -60.7% |
| 10% | -32.1% | 32% | -64.4% |
| 15% | -38.6% | 29% | -67.9% |
| 20% | -44.7% | 26% | -71.0% |