Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:21:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
B5 0xb55e…8454 crypto 65 markets active 4d ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (96 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$2,216 (-17%) realized −$2,216 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -16% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -36% what you keep after slip
Net edge-36%after slip
Net WR42%break-even
Win rate42%27W / 38L
Whale WR17%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$203per market
Trades / day96.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$3,194
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (96 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-24.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 65 -16.4% -24.3% 42% 42% -33.8%
≤30d 65 -16.4% -24.3% 42% 42% -33.8%
≤90d 65 -16.4% -24.3% 42% 42% -33.8%
all 65 -16.4% -24.3% 42% 42% -33.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover96.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -24.3% 42% -33.8%
10% ← realistic here -31.6% 34% -40.1%
15% -38.2% 29% -45.9%
20% -44.3% 26% -51.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 36% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -27% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -16% · $-wt -27% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 17% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -2% → late -30% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$105 vs −$159 · ×0.66 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.47 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,216
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses27 / 38
Whale WR (big bets)17%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)65 / 65
History coverage3d
Avg bet$203
Trades / day96.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 65 Trades
no open positions (16 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $419 −$174 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $416 +$86 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $422 −$197 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $727 −$727 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $469 −$397 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $945 −$666 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $107 −$107 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $738 −$738 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $845 −$845 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$21 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $940 −$940 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $106 −$7 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $313 +$424 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $314 +$599 +191%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $315 +$264 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $564 −$45 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $341 +$283 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $631 +$33 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $418 +$172 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $311 −$76 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $715 +$78 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $422 −$386 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $314 +$164 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $418 +$159 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $103 +$19 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $415 +$137 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $208 −$200 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $103 +$65 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$23 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $39 −$38 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$4 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 10 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 10 $62 −$27 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 10 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 10 $51 −$51 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $3 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $21 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $22 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $104 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $104 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $104 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $104 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $105 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $105 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $104 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $104 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $104 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $6 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $93 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $106 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 321 history records