Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:18:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

B5
0xb55f…64d4
crypto · 172 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,748 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,697 · open +$52
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$2,596
Realized+$2,697
Unrealized+$52
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses104 / 156
Whale WR (big bets)42%
Open positions14
Markets (closed)260 / 172
Avg bet$286
Trades / day3356.0
Drawdown38%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 14 History 260 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,697
7 days+$2,697
14 days+$2,697
30 days+$2,697
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up 75¢ 86¢ $860 $994 +$134 (+16%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up 73¢ 86¢ $482 $563 +$81 (+17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Up 53¢ 58¢ $318 $352 +$34 (+11%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up 66¢ 88¢ $134 $178 +$44 (+33%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up 64¢ 81¢ $83 $105 +$22 (+26%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Up 63¢ 56¢ $101 $90 −$11 (-11%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 51¢ 50¢ $73 $72 −$1 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Down 52¢ 44¢ $75 $65 −$10 (-14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 51¢ 50¢ $42 $41 −$1 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $36 $37 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Down 14¢ 14¢ $31 $31 −$0 (-2%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 53¢ 69¢ $12 $15 +$4 (+30%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Down 11¢ 14¢ $12 $15 +$4 (+32%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 46¢ 50¢ $4 $5 +$0 (+8%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Down 9¢ 12¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+33%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 50¢ 44¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-13%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Up 56¢ 55¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-3%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Up 64¢ 42¢ $6 $4 −$2 (-35%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET Down 71¢ 58¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-18%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 93¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 8AM ET Down 71¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+41%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+56%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+52%)
Bitcoin above 75,200 on May 30, 7PM ET? No 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin above 78,600 on May 18, 6PM ET? No 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 8AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +41%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +52%
Bitcoin above 75,200 on May 30, 7PM ET? Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin above 78,600 on May 18, 6PM ET? Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +54%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +39%
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +212%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +61%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +56%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 11, 5PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,000 on June 11, 8PM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Jun 12 $191 −$191 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $241 −$241 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 12, 12AM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 11, 9PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $81 −$81 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 12, 3AM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 11, 9PM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 11, 9PM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,680 on June 11, 10PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,400 on June 11, 9PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 11, 5PM ET? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum above 1,680 on June 11, 11PM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 12, 12AM ET? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$3,787
other 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $29 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $3 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $6 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $8 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $13 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $9 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $11 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $17 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $21 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $6 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $24 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $38 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $6 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $32 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $16 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $18 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $38 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $0 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $35 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-34.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 260 -27.0% -34.0% 40% 29% -4.4%
≤30d 260 -27.0% -34.0% 40% 29% -4.4%
≤90d 260 -27.0% -34.0% 40% 29% -4.4%
all 260 -27.0% -34.0% 40% 29% -4.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3356.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.0% 29% -4.4%
10% ← realistic here -40.3% 20% -13.6%
15% -46.1% 15% -21.9%
20% -51.3% 10% -29.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,595.71 · official $2,574.86 (match) · 3500 history records